Model Textbook of Mathematics Grade 7 (FBISE / NBF)
Class 7 Mathematics Federal Board of Intermediate and Secondary Education (FBISE) (FBISE) 📚 Model Textbook of Mathematics Grade 7 (FBISE / NBF)

Class 7 Mathematics Ch 13 Mastery Guide: Probability, Sample Space, Events, Complements & Tree Diagrams (FBISE)

📖 Chapter 13: Probability 📅 Updated: Sep 13, 2026

🗺️ Teacher & Parent Roadmap: Unit 13 (Probability)

Probability is the mathematical language of uncertainty, chance, and risk assessment. In everyday life, we encounter statements like "It will probably rain today" or "There is a 50-50 chance of winning the coin toss". In Grade 7 Mathematics (FBISE Curriculum), students move from intuitive guesses to precise mathematical calculation. This unit covers foundational concepts including Experiments, Sample Spaces, Events & Favorable Outcomes, the Probability Scale ($0 \le P \le 1$), Equally Likely Outcomes, Mutually Exclusive vs. Non-Mutually Exclusive Events, the Complement Rule ($P(\text{not } E) = 1 - P(E)$), and multi-stage Tree Diagrams.

🎯 Core Learning Objectives:
  • Define Experiment, Outcome, and construct the complete Sample Space ($S$) and count its elements $n(S)$.
  • Quantify chance using the Probability Scale: Impossible ($P=0$), Unlikely ($0 < P < 0.5$), Even Chance ($P=0.5$), Likely ($0.5 < P < 1$), and Certain ($P=1$).
  • Apply the classical probability formula: $P(E) = \frac{n(E)}{n(S)} = \frac{\text{favourable outcomes}}{\text{total possible outcomes}}$.
  • Differentiate between Mutually Exclusive Events ($A \cap B = \emptyset$) and non-mutually exclusive events.
  • Calculate the Complement of an Event using $P(E') = P(\text{not } E) = 1 - P(E)$.
  • Construct and interpret multi-stage Tree Diagrams for combined events with and without replacement.
⚠️ Common Misconceptions & Pitfalls:
  • Probability > 1 or < 0 Error: A probability can NEVER be less than 0 or greater than 1 (or greater than 100%). If your answer is $\frac{5}{4}$ or $-0.2$, check your work immediately!
  • Mutually Exclusive Confusion: Assuming two events cannot happen together when they can (e.g. drawing a Queen and drawing a Spade — the Queen of Spades is both!).
  • Deck of Cards Ignorance: Forgetting standard card counts: 52 total cards, 4 suits of 13 each, 26 red cards, 26 black cards, 12 face/picture cards (4 Kings, 4 Queens, 4 Jacks), 4 Aces.
  • Tree Diagram Stage Branches: Forgetting to multiply possibilities across stages (e.g., 3 coin tosses give $2 \times 2 \times 2 = 8$ outcomes, not $2 + 2 + 2 = 6$).

🎲 Core Concepts & Visual Foundations

2.1 The Probability Scale & Likelihood of Events

Probability is the numerical measure of how likely an event is to occur. The value of probability always lies between $0$ and $1$ inclusive ($0 \le P(E) \le 1$).

  • Impossible Event ($P = 0$): An event that can NEVER happen (e.g., rolling an 8 on a standard 6-sided die, the sun rising in the west).
  • Unlikely Event ($0 < P < 0.5$ or $0\% < P < 50\%$): Has a small chance of happening (e.g., winning a lottery with 1 ticket out of 10,000).
  • Even Chance / Equally Likely ($P = 0.5 = \frac{1}{2} = 50\%$): Has exactly equal chances of happening or not happening (e.g., tossing a fair coin and getting Heads).
  • Likely Event ($0.5 < P < 1$ or $50\% < P < 100\%$): Has a good chance of occurring (e.g., picking a colored marble from a bag containing 9 blue and 1 red marble).
  • Certain Event ($P = 1 = 100\%$): An event that is GUARANTEED to happen (e.g., the day after Monday will be Tuesday, rolling a number less than 7 on a standard die).
Impossible 0 0% Unlikely 1/4 (0.25) 25% Even Chance 1/2 (0.50) 50% Likely 3/4 (0.75) 75% Certain 1 100%
Figure 13.1: The Linear Probability Scale from 0 (Impossible) to 1 (Certain).

2.2 Experiment, Outcomes, Sample Space ($S$), and Events

Understanding probability terminology is key to solving all problems correctly:

1. Experiment:

An activity or trial that produces observable results (e.g., rolling a die, tossing a coin, drawing a card).

2. Outcome:

A single possible result of an experiment (e.g., getting a '3' on a die, getting 'Heads').

3. Sample Space ($S$):

The set of ALL possible outcomes of an experiment. The total count is written as $n(S)$.

4. Event ($E$):

A subset of the sample space containing the outcomes favorable to a specific condition. Total count is $n(E)$.

Random Experiment Sample Space ($S$) Total Outcomes $n(S)$
Tossing 1 fair coin $S = \{H, T\}$ $n(S) = 2$
Rolling 1 fair six-sided die $S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$ $n(S) = 6$
Tossing 2 fair coins $S = \{HH, HT, TH, TT\}$ $n(S) = 2^2 = 4$
Tossing 3 fair coins $S = \{HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT\}$ $n(S) = 2^3 = 8$
Standard 52-card deck 4 Suits: 13 Hearts ♥, 13 Diamonds ♦, 13 Clubs ♣, 13 Spades ♠ $n(S) = 52$

2.3 The Classical Probability Formula & Complement Rule

📌 Fundamental Probability Formula
$$P(E) = \frac{n(E)}{n(S)} = \frac{\text{Number of Favourable Outcomes}}{\text{Total Number of Possible Outcomes}}$$
⚡ Complement of an Event Rule
$$P(E) + P(E') = 1 \implies P(\text{not } E) = 1 - P(E)$$

2.4 Mutually Exclusive vs. Non-Mutually Exclusive Events

Two events $A$ and $B$ are Mutually Exclusive (Disjoint) if they cannot happen at the same time ($A \cap B = \emptyset$). If they can occur simultaneously, they are Non-Mutually Exclusive.

Mutually Exclusive ($A \cap B = \emptyset$) Event A Event B No overlap! $P(A \text{ or } B) = P(A) + P(B)$ Non-Mutually Exclusive ($A \cap B \neq \emptyset$) A B A∩B $P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)$
Figure 13.2: Venn Diagram Comparison of Mutually Exclusive vs. Overlapping Events.

2.5 Tree Diagrams for Multi-Stage Combined Events

A Tree Diagram is a powerful visual branching structure used to systematically display all possible outcomes of a multi-stage experiment. The total number of outcomes is found by multiplying the number of options at each stage: $$\text{Total Outcomes} = n_1 \times n_2 \times n_3 \times \dots$$

Start H (1/2) T (1/2) H T H (1/2) T (1/2) H (1/2) T (1/2) H T H T Outcome: HH (P = 1/4) Outcome: HT (P = 1/4) Outcome: TH (P = 1/4) Outcome: TT (P = 1/4) 1st Toss 2nd Toss Combined Outcomes
Figure 13.3: Two-Stage Tree Diagram for Tossing Two Fair Coins ($n(S) = 4$).

📝 Step-by-Step Solved Textbook Exercises

Exercise 13.1 (Probability Basics, Sample Space, Equally Likely Events & Complements)

Q1. Describe the probability of the following events using words (Impossible, Unlikely, Even chance, Likely, Certain):

  • (a) The Sun will rise in the west tomorrow:
    Solution: Impossible ($P = 0$), because astronomically the Sun always rises in the east due to Earth's rotation.
  • (b) Tossing a fair coin and getting a Head:
    Solution: Even chance ($P = \frac{1}{2} = 0.5 = 50\%$), since Heads and Tails are equally likely.
  • (c) Rolling a 7 on a standard six-sided die:
    Solution: Impossible ($P = 0$), as the faces are only numbered 1 through 6.
  • (d) Winning a nationwide lottery when buying 1 ticket out of 1,000,000 sold:
    Solution: Unlikely ($P = \frac{1}{1000000} \approx 0.000001$), extremely small chance.
  • (e) The day after Tuesday will be Wednesday:
    Solution: Certain ($P = 1 = 100\%$), as the weekly sequence is fixed.

Q2. Write down the sample space $S$ and the total number of outcomes $n(S)$ for the following experiments:

  • (a) Tossing a single coin:
    $$S = \{H, T\}, \quad n(S) = 2$$
  • (b) Rolling a fair six-sided die:
    $$S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}, \quad n(S) = 6$$
  • (c) Choosing a letter at random from the word "MATH":
    $$S = \{M, A, T, H\}, \quad n(S) = 4$$
  • (d) Selecting one primary color:
    $$S = \{\text{Red}, \text{Blue}, \text{Yellow}\}, \quad n(S) = 3$$

Q3. A box contains 4 red marbles, 5 green marbles, and 6 blue marbles. A marble is drawn at random. Find the probability of getting:

Total marbles $n(S) = 4 + 5 + 6 = 15$.
(a) A red marble: $n(\text{Red}) = 4 \implies P(\text{Red}) = \frac{4}{15}$
(b) A green marble: $n(\text{Green}) = 5 \implies P(\text{Green}) = \frac{5}{15} = \frac{1}{3}$
(c) A blue marble: $n(\text{Blue}) = 6 \implies P(\text{Blue}) = \frac{6}{15} = \frac{2}{5}$
(d) Not a red marble: Using the complement rule: $$P(\text{Not Red}) = 1 - P(\text{Red}) = 1 - \frac{4}{15} = \frac{15 - 4}{15} = \frac{11}{15}$$

Q4. A fair six-sided die is rolled. Find the probability of getting:

Sample space $S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$, $n(S) = 6$.
(a) The number 4: Favourable outcome $E = \{4\}$, $n(E) = 1 \implies P(4) = \frac{1}{6}$
(b) An even number: $E = \{2, 4, 6\}$, $n(E) = 3 \implies P(\text{Even}) = \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}$
(c) A number greater than 4: $E = \{5, 6\}$, $n(E) = 2 \implies P(>4) = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}$
(d) A prime number: $E = \{2, 3, 5\}$, $n(E) = 3 \implies P(\text{Prime}) = \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}$ (Note: 1 is not prime!)
(e) A number less than 1: $E = \emptyset$, $n(E) = 0 \implies P(<1) = \frac{0}{6} = 0$ (Impossible event).

Q5. A bag contains 8 red hats, 4 blue hats, and 6 black hats. A hat is drawn at random. Total = 18. Find the probability that the hat is:

$n(S) = 8 + 4 + 6 = 18$.
(a) Red: $P(\text{Red}) = \frac{8}{18} = \frac{4}{9}$
(b) Blue: $P(\text{Blue}) = \frac{4}{18} = \frac{2}{9}$
(c) Black: $P(\text{Black}) = \frac{6}{18} = \frac{1}{3}$
(d) Not blue: $P(\text{Not Blue}) = 1 - P(\text{Blue}) = 1 - \frac{2}{9} = \frac{7}{9}$

Q6. The letters of the word "CHANCE" are written on separate identical cards and placed in a box. A card is drawn at random. Find the probability of drawing:

Letters: C, H, A, N, C, E $\implies n(S) = 6$.
(a) The letter 'C': Appears 2 times $\implies P(\text{'C'}) = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}$
(b) A vowel: Vowels in CHANCE are {A, E}, $n = 2 \implies P(\text{Vowel}) = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}$
(c) A consonant: Consonants are {C, H, N, C}, $n = 4 \implies P(\text{Consonant}) = \frac{4}{6} = \frac{2}{3}$
(d) The letter 'Z': Does not exist in the word $\implies P(\text{'Z'}) = \frac{0}{6} = 0$.

Q7. An 8-sector circular spinner is numbered 1 through 8. The pointer is spun. Find the probability of landing on:

Sample space $S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8\}$, $n(S) = 8$.
(a) An odd number: $\{1, 3, 5, 7\} \implies n = 4 \implies P(\text{Odd}) = \frac{4}{8} = \frac{1}{2}$
(b) A multiple of 3: $\{3, 6\} \implies n = 2 \implies P(\text{Multiple of 3}) = \frac{2}{8} = \frac{1}{4}$
(c) A number divisible by 5: $\{5\} \implies n = 1 \implies P(\text{Divisible by 5}) = \frac{1}{8}$
(d) A number less than 9: All 8 numbers are $<9 \implies n = 8 \implies P(<9) = \frac{8}{8} = 1$ (Certain).

Q8. A card is drawn from a well-shuffled standard pack of 52 playing cards. Find the probability of getting:

Total cards $n(S) = 52$.
(a) A King: There are 4 Kings $\implies P(\text{King}) = \frac{4}{52} = \frac{1}{13}$
(b) A Heart: There are 13 Hearts $\implies P(\text{Heart}) = \frac{13}{52} = \frac{1}{4}$
(c) A black card: There are 26 black cards (13 Spades + 13 Clubs) $\implies P(\text{Black}) = \frac{26}{52} = \frac{1}{2}$
(d) A red Queen: 2 red Queens (Queen of Hearts + Queen of Diamonds) $\implies P(\text{Red Queen}) = \frac{2}{52} = \frac{1}{26}$
(e) Not an Ace: 4 Aces in the deck $\implies P(\text{Not Ace}) = 1 - \frac{4}{52} = \frac{48}{52} = \frac{12}{13}$

Q9. Slips of paper numbered 1 to 20 are placed in a jar. One slip is drawn at random. Find the probability that the number is:

$S = \{1, 2, 3, \dots, 20\}$, $n(S) = 20$.
(a) A prime number: $\{2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13, 17, 19\} \implies 8 \text{ numbers} \implies P(\text{Prime}) = \frac{8}{20} = \frac{2}{5}$
(b) A multiple of 4: $\{4, 8, 12, 16, 20\} \implies 5 \text{ numbers} \implies P(\text{Multiple of 4}) = \frac{5}{20} = \frac{1}{4}$
(c) Divisible by both 2 and 3 (multiples of 6): $\{6, 12, 18\} \implies 3 \text{ numbers} \implies P = \frac{3}{20}$
(d) Greater than 15: $\{16, 17, 18, 19, 20\} \implies 5 \text{ numbers} \implies P(>15) = \frac{5}{20} = \frac{1}{4}$

Q10. In a prize lottery, 300 tickets are sold. If Ali buys 15 tickets, calculate the probability that:

Total tickets $n(S) = 300$, Ali's tickets $n(A) = 15$.
(a) Ali wins the prize: $$P(\text{Win}) = \frac{15}{300} = \frac{1}{20} = 0.05 \quad (5\%)$$ (b) Ali does not win the prize: $$P(\text{Does not win}) = 1 - P(\text{Win}) = 1 - \frac{1}{20} = \frac{19}{20} = 0.95 \quad (95\%)$$

Q11. A fair six-sided die is rolled. Let event $A$ be rolling a number less than 3, and event $B$ be rolling a number greater than 4:

$S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$, $n(S) = 6$.
Event $A = \{1, 2\} \implies n(A) = 2 \implies P(A) = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}$.
Event $B = \{5, 6\} \implies n(B) = 2 \implies P(B) = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}$.
(a) Find $P(A)$ and $P(B)$: $P(A) = \frac{1}{3}, \quad P(B) = \frac{1}{3}$.
(b) Are events $A$ and $B$ mutually exclusive? Explain:
Yes! $A \cap B = \{1, 2\} \cap \{5, 6\} = \emptyset$. A single roll of a die cannot simultaneously show a number less than 3 AND greater than 4.
(c) Find $P(A \text{ or } B)$: $$P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) = \frac{1}{3} + \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{3}$$

Q12. A loaded die is rolled. If the probability of getting a 6 is $\frac{1}{3}$, what is the probability of NOT getting a 6?

Using the complement rule: $$P(\text{not } 6) = 1 - P(6) = 1 - \frac{1}{3} = \frac{3 - 1}{3} = \frac{2}{3}$$

Q13. A bag contains 2 red balls, 3 green balls, and 4 yellow balls. A ball is drawn at random, its color noted, and it is replaced. Then another ball is drawn:

Total balls $n(S) = 2 + 3 + 4 = 9$.
(a) Find the probability of drawing a red ball on the first draw: $$P(\text{Red}) = \frac{2}{9}$$ (b) Are drawing a red ball and drawing a yellow ball on the first draw mutually exclusive? Explain:
Yes. When drawing a single ball, it cannot be both red and yellow at the same time. The two outcomes are completely disjoint ($A \cap B = \emptyset$).

Exercise 13.2 (Tree Diagrams, Combined Events & Sample Spaces)

Q1. A school cafeteria offers 2 main dishes (Rice $R$, Pasta $P$) and 3 beverages (Juice $J$, Milk $M$, Water $W$). Draw a tree diagram to list all possible meal combinations. Find the total number of combinations:

By the fundamental counting principle: Total combinations $= 2 \times 3 = 6$.
Tree Diagram Breakdown:
• Branch 1 (Rice $R$) $\to$ $RJ$ (Rice & Juice), $RM$ (Rice & Milk), $RW$ (Rice & Water)
• Branch 2 (Pasta $P$) $\to$ $PJ$ (Pasta & Juice), $PM$ (Pasta & Milk), $PW$ (Pasta & Water)
Sample Space: $S = \{RJ, RM, RW, PJ, PM, PW\}, \quad n(S) = 6$.

Q2. Zara has 3 shirts (Red $R$, Blue $B$, White $W$) and 2 skirts (Black $K$, Grey $G$). Draw a tree diagram showing all outfit choices and determine the total number of distinct outfits:

Total Outfits $= 3 \times 2 = 6$.
Branches & Sample Space:
$S = \{RK, RG, BK, BG, WK, WG\}, \quad n(S) = 6$.

Q3. Ali ($A$), Babar ($B$), and Camran ($C$) stand in a queue at a ticket counter. Draw a tree diagram to show all possible line-up orders:

Total permutations of 3 distinct individuals $= 3! = 3 \times 2 \times 1 = 6$.
Possible Orders:
1. $A$ first $\to ABC, ACB$
2. $B$ first $\to BAC, BCA$
3. $C$ first $\to CAB, CBA$
$$S = \{ABC, ACB, BAC, BCA, CAB, CBA\}, \quad n(S) = 6$$

Q4. A fast-food restaurant serves Burgers (Chicken $C$, Beef $B$) and Drinks (Soda $S$, Tea $T$, Coffee $K$). Draw a tree diagram and find the probability that a randomly chosen order is a Chicken burger with Soda:

Total meal combinations $= 2 \times 3 = 6$:
$S = \{CS, CT, CK, BS, BT, BK\}, \quad n(S) = 6$.
Favourable outcome: $\{CS\} \implies n(CS) = 1$.
$$P(\text{Chicken Burger with Soda}) = \frac{1}{6}$$

Q5. A drawer contains 2 black socks ($B$) and 2 white socks ($W$). Two socks are pulled out one after another WITH REPLACEMENT. Draw a tree diagram and find the probability of getting a matching pair:

Sample Space $S = \{BB, BW, WB, WW\}, \quad n(S) = 4$.
Favourable outcomes for a matching pair: $E = \{BB, WW\} \implies n(E) = 2$.
$$P(\text{Matching Pair}) = \frac{2}{4} = \frac{1}{2} = 0.50$$

Q6. A bag contains 1 black ball ($B$) and 1 white ball ($W$). A ball is drawn, its color recorded, and returned to the bag. A second ball is then drawn. Draw a tree diagram and determine the probability of getting at least one white ball:

Sample space $S = \{BB, BW, WB, WW\}, \quad n(S) = 4$.
Favourable event (at least one $W$): $E = \{BW, WB, WW\} \implies n(E) = 3$.
$$P(\text{At least one white ball}) = \frac{3}{4} = 0.75$$

Q7. Bag 1 contains counters numbered 1 and 2. Bag 2 contains counters numbered 3 and 4. One counter is drawn from each bag. Draw a tree diagram, list the sample space, and calculate the probability that the sum of the numbers is odd:

Sample space pairs $(x_1, x_2)$: $$S = \{(1, 3), (1, 4), (2, 3), (2, 4)\}, \quad n(S) = 4$$ Sums:
• $(1, 3) \to 1 + 3 = 4$ (Even)
• $(1, 4) \to 1 + 4 = 5$ (Odd)
• $(2, 3) \to 2 + 3 = 5$ (Odd)
• $(2, 4) \to 2 + 4 = 6$ (Even)
Odd sums occur in 2 outcomes: $\{(1, 4), (2, 3)\} \implies n(E) = 2$.
$$P(\text{Sum is Odd}) = \frac{2}{4} = \frac{1}{2}$$

Q8. An ice cream parlor offers Vanilla ($V$), Chocolate ($C$), and Mango ($M$) flavors. Two friends each independently choose one flavor. Draw a tree diagram, list the sample space, and find the probability that both friends choose the same flavor:

Total pairs $= 3 \times 3 = 9$:
$$S = \{VV, VC, VM, CV, CC, CM, MV, MC, MM\}, \quad n(S) = 9$$ Favourable outcomes (same flavor): $E = \{VV, CC, MM\} \implies n(E) = 3$.
$$P(\text{Same Flavor}) = \frac{3}{9} = \frac{1}{3}$$

Review Exercise 13 (Comprehensive Chapter Review & Problem Solving)

Q1. Multiple Choice Questions (Textbook Review):

  1. The probability of an impossible event is: (c) $0$
  2. The probability of a certain event is: (d) $1$
  3. If $P(E) = 0.35$, then $P(\text{not } E)$ is: (b) $0.65$ (Since $1 - 0.35 = 0.65$)
  4. A die is rolled once. The probability of getting an odd number is: (a) $\frac{1}{2}$ ($\{1,3,5\} \to \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}$)
  5. In a standard pack of 52 cards, the number of picture (face) cards is: (c) $12$ (4 Kings, 4 Queens, 4 Jacks)
  6. Two events that cannot occur at the same time are called: (b) Mutually exclusive events
  7. The total number of outcomes when 3 coins are tossed simultaneously is: (d) $8$ ($2^3 = 8$)
  8. Which of the following cannot be the probability of an event? (a) $1.25$ (Probabilities can never exceed 1)
  9. The sample space for tossing a coin is: (a) $\{H, T\}$
  10. If a spinner has 4 equal red sections out of 8 total sections, the probability of red is: (b) $\frac{1}{2}$ ($\frac{4}{8} = \frac{1}{2}$)

Q2. A six-sided die is rolled. Find the probability of getting:

$S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$, $n(S) = 6$.
(a) A multiple of 3: $\{3, 6\} \implies n = 2 \implies P = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}$
(b) A number less than 7: All faces $\{1,2,3,4,5,6\} \implies n = 6 \implies P = \frac{6}{6} = 1$ (Certain).

Q3. A box contains 36 discs: 5 marked $V$, 12 marked $W$, and the rest unmarked. A disc is chosen at random. Find the probability that the disc is:

Total discs $n(S) = 36$.
Unmarked discs $= 36 - (5 + 12) = 36 - 17 = 19$.
(a) Marked $V$: $P(V) = \frac{5}{36}$
(b) Marked $W$: $P(W) = \frac{12}{36} = \frac{1}{3}$
(c) Unmarked: $P(\text{Unmarked}) = \frac{19}{36}$

Q4. From a standard pack of 52 playing cards, a card is drawn at random. Find the probability that the card is:

(a) A Picture card: Face cards $= 4 \text{ Kings} + 4 \text{ Queens} + 4 \text{ Jacks} = 12$. $$P(\text{Picture card}) = \frac{12}{52} = \frac{3}{13}$$ (b) Not a picture card: $$P(\text{Not picture card}) = 1 - \frac{3}{13} = \frac{10}{13}$$

Q5. A bag contains 24 red balls and $x$ white balls. If the probability of drawing a white ball is $\frac{3}{7}$, find the value of $x$:

Total balls $n(S) = 24 + x$. Number of white balls $n(W) = x$.
$$P(\text{White}) = \frac{x}{24 + x} = \frac{3}{7}$$ Cross-multiplying: $$7x = 3(24 + x) \implies 7x = 72 + 3x \implies 7x - 3x = 72 \implies 4x = 72 \implies x = \frac{72}{4} = 18$$ Answer: There are $18$ white balls in the bag.

Q6. A basket contains 30 apples: 14 red and 16 green. How many red apples must be removed so that the probability of picking a green apple becomes $\frac{2}{3}$?

Let the number of removed red apples be $y$.
Green apples remain unchanged $= 16$.
New total apples $= 30 - y$.
$$P(\text{Green}) = \frac{16}{30 - y} = \frac{2}{3}$$ Cross-multiplying: $$16 \times 3 = 2(30 - y) \implies 48 = 60 - 2y \implies 2y = 60 - 48 \implies 2y = 12 \implies y = 6$$ Answer: $6$ red apples must be removed.

Q7. A card is drawn from a well-shuffled pack of 52 cards. Find the probability that the card is:

$n(S) = 52$.
(a) A Diamond: $13 \text{ Diamonds} \implies P = \frac{13}{52} = \frac{1}{4}$
(b) An Ace: $4 \text{ Aces} \implies P = \frac{4}{52} = \frac{1}{13}$
(c) The Ace of Diamonds: Exactly 1 such card $\implies P = \frac{1}{52}$

Q8. A 10-sided die (numbered 1 to 10) is rolled. Find the probability of:

$S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10\}$, $n(S) = 10$.
(a) Getting the number 1: $P(1) = \frac{1}{10}$
(b) Getting an even number: $\{2, 4, 6, 8, 10\} \implies n = 5 \implies P = \frac{5}{10} = \frac{1}{2}$
(c) Getting a number less than 4 OR greater than 7:
Numbers $<4$: $\{1, 2, 3\}$; Numbers $>7$: $\{8, 9, 10\}$.
Combined set: $\{1, 2, 3, 8, 9, 10\} \implies n = 6$.
$$P(<4 \text{ or } >7) = \frac{6}{10} = \frac{3}{5}$$

Q9. A regular hexagonal spinner is numbered 1 to 6. Find the probability of:

$S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$, $n(S) = 6$.
(a) Spinning an odd number: $\{1, 3, 5\} \implies P = \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}$
(b) Spinning a number greater than or equal to 4: $\{4, 5, 6\} \implies P = \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}$

Q10. Two friends order ice cream from a menu offering Vanilla, Strawberry, and Chocolate. Draw a tree diagram and find the probability that they choose DIFFERENT flavors:

Total possible pairs $n(S) = 3 \times 3 = 9$.
Outcomes where they pick the same flavor $= \{VV, SS, CC\} \implies n = 3$.
Using the complement rule: $$P(\text{Different Flavors}) = 1 - P(\text{Same Flavor}) = 1 - \frac{3}{9} = \frac{6}{9} = \frac{2}{3}$$

Q11. In a class of 40 students, 20 study Mathematics, 25 study Statistics, and 10 study both. Are the events "studies Mathematics" and "studies Statistics" mutually exclusive? Explain:

Two events are mutually exclusive if and only if they cannot happen together ($M \cap S = \emptyset$).
Here, $n(M \cap S) = 10 \neq 0$ (10 students study both subjects simultaneously).
Conclusion: No, the events are NOT mutually exclusive because there is an overlap of 10 students.

Q12. From a well-shuffled pack of 52 cards, determine if the following pairs of events are mutually exclusive and find the probability of their union:

(a) Drawing a King or drawing a Queen:
• Mutually Exclusive? Yes, no single card can be both a King and a Queen ($K \cap Q = \emptyset$).
• Probability: $P(K \cup Q) = P(K) + P(Q) = \frac{4}{52} + \frac{4}{52} = \frac{8}{52} = \frac{2}{13}$.

(b) Drawing a Queen or drawing a Spade:
• Mutually Exclusive? No, because the Queen of Spades belongs to both events ($Q \cap \text{Spade} = \{\text{Queen of Spades}\}$).
• Probability: $$P(Q \cup \text{Spade}) = P(Q) + P(\text{Spade}) - P(Q \cap \text{Spade}) = \frac{4}{52} + \frac{13}{52} - \frac{1}{52} = \frac{16}{52} = \frac{4}{13}$$

💡 Solved In-Text Check Points

  • Check Point (p. 252 - Colored Pencils): A pencil box has 2 blue ($B_1, B_2$), 1 yellow ($Y$), and 2 black ($K_1, K_2$) pencils. Sample space $S = \{B_1, B_2, Y, K_1, K_2\}, \quad n(S) = 5$.
  • Check Point (p. 253 - 2-Digit Primes < 50): $S = \{11, 13, 17, 19, 23, 29, 31, 37, 41, 43, 47\}$, $n(S) = 11$. Primes with tens digit 3: $E = \{31, 37\} \implies n(E) = 2 \implies P(E) = \frac{2}{11}$.
  • Check Point (p. 255 - Number Cube): (a) $P(\text{prime}) = \frac{|\{2,3,5\}|}{6} = \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}$. (b) $P(\text{number } > 3) = \frac{|\{4,5,6\}|}{6} = \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}$.
  • Check Point (p. 256 - Marbles): 5 black, 3 white, 4 yellow (Total 12). $P(\text{Black}) = \frac{5}{12}$, $P(\text{White}) = \frac{3}{12} = \frac{1}{4}$, $P(\text{Yellow}) = \frac{4}{12} = \frac{1}{3}$. Most likely = Black ($\frac{5}{12} \approx 41.7\%$).
  • Check Point (p. 257 - Letters of MATHEMATICS): Total 11 letters. $P = \text{vowels }\{A, E, A, I\}$, $Q = \text{letter } A$, $R = \text{consonants }\{M, T, H, M, T, C, S\}$. Events $P$ and $R$ are mutually exclusive ($P \cap R = \emptyset$). Events $P$ and $Q$ are NOT mutually exclusive ($Q \subseteq P$).
  • Check Point (p. 258 - Eye Color Survey): 100 students: Brown 34, Blue 30, Green 21, Hazel 15. $P(\text{Green}) = \frac{21}{100} = 0.21 \implies P(\text{Not Green}) = 1 - 0.21 = \frac{79}{100} = 0.79$.
  • Check Point (p. 259 - Playing Cards Spade): $P(\text{Spade}) = \frac{13}{52} = \frac{1}{4} \implies P(\text{Not Spade}) = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4}$.
  • Check Point (p. 262 - 3 Coin Tosses): Sample space $S = \{HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT\}, \quad n(S) = 2^3 = 8$.

📌 Unit 13 Quick Revision & Formula Sheet

Probability Axioms:
  • Range: $0 \le P(E) \le 1$
  • Impossible Event: $P(E) = 0$
  • Certain Event: $P(E) = 1$
  • Sum of All Outcomes: $\sum P(E_i) = 1$
Key Formulas:
  • Equally Likely: $P(E) = \frac{n(E)}{n(S)}$
  • Complement: $P(E') = 1 - P(E)$
  • Mutually Exclusive: $P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B)$
  • Non-Mutually Exclusive: $P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)$
Standard Counts:
  • 1 Die: $n(S) = 6$
  • $k$ Coins: $n(S) = 2^k$
  • Deck of Cards: Total 52, 4 Suits (13 each), 26 Red, 26 Black, 12 Face Cards, 4 Aces

❓ Frequently Asked Questions — Class 7 Mathematics Chapter 13

Are these notes according to the latest FBISE & Single National Curriculum (SNC)?
Yes. All notes, theorems, diagrams, and numerical solutions strictly adhere to the official textbook curriculum prescribed by the Federal Board (FBISE) and Provincial Textbook Boards.
Are all exercise questions and theorems solved step-by-step?
Yes. Every exercise sub-part, miscellaneous question, and formal theorem is presented with step-by-step mathematical reasoning, geometric proofs, and clear vector SVG figures.
Can I practice Chapter 13 online?
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